FORMLAB Race Report — Leicester 18:50

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Leicester · 18:50

Class 6 · 8.24f · Good to Firm (Good in places)

GENERATED 2026-07-22 · 6 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 63.7%212 races · latest settled day: #1 7/20, top-3 12/20forensic read: #1 27.3% · top-3 63.3% (139)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

LOPE Y LINDA is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here spend about 48% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, BUCKLAND BELLE leads on 64, 6.7pts clear of LOPE Y LINDA — in form. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is ABLE ASTRA (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market agrees — it makes BUCKLAND BELLE the 58% favourite.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 6

BUCKLAND BELLE

OR 54 · Tom Marquand / Ollie Sangster

MARKET 1.73 · the market rates it a 58% chance

64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (64.0)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 2

LOPE Y LINDA

OR 55 · Jake Dickson / Tim Easterby

MARKET 5.6 · the market rates it a 18% chance

57.3 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (57.3)Jockey goes well at this track (3.91x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 8 days ago

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

ABLE ASTRA (IRE)

OR 55 · Rossa Ryan / Clive Cox

MARKET 8 · the market rates it a 12% chance

51.7 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Drops in class todayRated #3 in this field (51.7)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 11 runs

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1BUCKLAND BELLEnet +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup

2LOPE Y LINDAnet +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls − burns early and empties, 5lb+ above last winning mark

3ABLE ASTRA (IRE)net +4drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band − habitually slow away

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK

Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. LOPE Y LINDA is the one to beat it — an edge BUCKLAND BELLE lacks: sharp from the stalls.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Worth A Second Look

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

IVAT GHIA (IRE) FIGURE #4

drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Won by prominent racers 30% · hold-up closers 30% (23 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Stiff, uphill finish — a real test of stamina in the closing stages. Winners’ energy signature: 48.35% spent early (band 47.28–49.35%, 35 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.2s off the lead). Only one confirmed early type — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.

Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–6

123456

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 2.0 of 6, field average 3.5).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: BUCKLAND BELLE is 0/1 on softer ground · LOPE Y LINDA is 1/4 on softer ground · ABLE ASTRA (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

ABLE ASTRA (IRE) MID 48.4% 103.9 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

LOPE Y LINDA PROMINENT 50.9% 96.5 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls

BUCKLAND BELLE MID 49.2% 101.9 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

IVAT GHIA (IRE) HELD-UP 49.2% 102.6 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

DORA VITA MID 49.6% 101.6 solid late gains (4th of 6 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

SPORTY SOCKS MID 50.5% 98.4 held up without the late gear (5th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

LOPE Y LINDAPROMINENTtypically ~1.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest

LOPE Y LINDA is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 BUCKLAND BELLE MID

DRAW 6 · OR 54 · Tom Marquand / Ollie Sangster

MARKET 1.73 · the market rates it a 58% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−

64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 6.7pts clear of the next, in form; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

64.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 64

Official mark (OR)

54 · last won off 50

Record at today's distance

1 win from 8 tries · below market expectation (0.81)

Days since last run

19

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 101.9% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 642ndClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 643rdClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 631stClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 625thClass 6 · 8.6f · rated 41

Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ollie Sangster · 711 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: keeping the same jockey

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Above their last winning mark9/4719.1%0.9217/6526.2%1.36

Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/13315.0%1.22

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.89/1098.3%0.68

Too few runners to read reliably

At Leicester (small sample)0/60.0%0.00/30.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~58 demand

The rider

Tom Marquand · last 14 days: 2/41 · at Leicester: A/E 0.89 (n57) · with this yard: A/E 1.46 (n8)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 6

+0.29 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6

+0.16s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 6

101.9%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 6

7.11 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

3 Jul 26Chepstow8fGd/Frm2ndTrue42.5 +0.0097.0+0.00

27 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.9 +0.93106.8—

8 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Sft3rdTrue38.3 +0.61101.8+0.28

25 May 26Windsor8fGd/Frm1stTrue39.8 +0.09104.7+0.14

24 Mar 26Wolverhampton8fStd5thTrue39.5 -0.02104.6+0.24

27 Feb 26Wolverhampton6fStd5thFast early41.8 +0.1296.6+0.12

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.23par2f+0.13slow3f+0.18slow4f+0.15par5f+0.05fast6fledfast7fledpar1m+0.18slow

Timed runs 2026-02-27 to 2026-07-03. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

DORA VITA · 1 meeting≈ 9.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

25 May 26 · 8.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 1st vs 13th, 14.85L ahead

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+9.8L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs LOPE Y LINDA (read through VERY DEMURE, DIAMOND ALI, DREAM FOREVER, AUSPICIOUS) ≈ +3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs SPORTY SOCKS (read through BLUE JAMMIN, LEXINGTON EXPRESS) ≈ +3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

4lb above his last winning mark (54 today vs 50)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (64.0)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.1 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“in touch, pushed along under 3f out, led 2f out, edged right approaching final 1f, headed final 100 yds, no extra”

#2 LOPE Y LINDA PROMINENT

DRAW 2 · OR 55 · Jake Dickson / Tim Easterby

MARKET 5.6 · the market rates it a 18% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−

57.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 6.7pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; rated well above the mark it last won from.

FormLab Figure

57.3 · ranked #2 here · career best 61

Official mark (OR)

55 · last won off 46

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 10 tries · beats market expectation (1.17)

Days since last run

8

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races front-runner (cooked late) · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 96.55% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 542ndClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 611stClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 5710thClass 6 · 7.4f · rated 322ndClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 54

Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tim Easterby · 2912 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange

Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Leicester8/4617.4%1.440/200.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 61 at/around today's trip, clears the ~58 demand

The rider

Jake Dickson · last 14 days: 3/18 · at Leicester: A/E 3.91 (n2) · with this yard: A/E 1.15 (n92)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6

+0.13 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 6

+0.01s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed6th of 6

96.5%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 6

7.61 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jul 26Leicester7fGd/Frm4th—40.9 +0.0196.1+0.19—

5 Jul 26Ayr7fGood2ndFast early39.8 -0.2696.1-0.07

20 Jun 26Ayr7fSoft1stFast early38.7 -0.13102.6-0.02

16 Jun 26Beverley7fGood10thFast early40.4 +0.2890.2+0.10

5 Jun 26Musselburgh8fGood2ndTrue38.5 +0.8698.1-0.19

21 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood1st—41.0 +0.0096.2+0.05

Timed runs 2026-05-21 to 2026-07-14. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

Read through a common rival

vs BUCKLAND BELLE (read through VERY DEMURE, DIAMOND ALI, DREAM FOREVER, AUSPICIOUS) ≈ -3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DORA VITA (read through SOUTH COAST STAR, GILES GLORY) ≈ -2.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

9lb above his last winning mark (55 today vs 46)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (57.3)Jockey goes well at this track (3.91x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 8 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“prominent, ridden over 2f out, edged right, no extra final 1f”

#3 ABLE ASTRA (IRE) MID

DRAW 1 · OR 55 · Rossa Ryan / Clive Cox

MARKET 8 · the market rates it a 12% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−

51.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 12.3pts off the top, dropping in class; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

51.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 52

Official mark (OR)

55 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

38

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.93% (strong late)

Course scale · class context

drops 20 places on the course scale (DONCASTER 10th → LEICESTER 30th) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Headgear

First-time hood · yard 20% with first-time gear (A/E 1.41)

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

9thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 514thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 528thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 52

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Clive Cox · 806 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of <=721/12516.8%0.7214/4035.0%2.01

At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.166/3716.2%1.46

Coming back after 15 to 45 days44/32813.4%0.9616/8818.2%1.45

Over 7-8f trips ✦31/21714.3%1.088/5414.8%1.21

On turf ✦67/45814.6%1.1420/13614.7%1.17

Too few runners to read reliably

In Class 6-7 company (small sample)4/2516.0%1.231/520.0%2.91

At Leicester (small sample)3/1915.8%1.141/714.3%0.96

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~58 the race demands

The rider

Rossa Ryan · last 14 days: 15/66 · at Leicester: A/E 1.23 (n92) · with this yard: A/E 1.15 (n257)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 6

-0.47 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 6

+0.34s

Slow away in 2 of 3 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed1st of 6

103.9%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length6th of 6

6.96 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jun 26Doncaster7fGood9thSlow early39.5 -0.98106.3+0.42

9 May 26Leicester7fGd/Frm4thTrue39.1 +0.0498.4+0.37

3 Dec 25Kempton Park7fStd8thTrue39.4 -0.48107.1+0.22

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.78slow2f+0.83par3f+0.73very slow4f+0.59very slow5f+0.55slow6f+0.82fast7f+1.68fast

Timed runs 2025-12-03 to 2026-06-14. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayRated #3 in this field (51.7)Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 11 runsLost roughly 1.9 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“held up, pushed along over 2f out, not quicken”

#4 IVAT GHIA (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 5 · OR 52 · Tyler Heard / Mark Usher

MARKET drifting 14 → 18.5 · the market rates it a 5% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−

44.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 19.7pts off the top, dropping in class; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

44.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 53

Official mark (OR)

52 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

16

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.1s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races held-up closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 102.64% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

drops 7 places on the course scale (LINGFIELD PARK 23rd → LEICESTER 30th) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Headgear

First-time hood

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 436thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 538thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 37

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Mark Usher · 637 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days17/2317.4%0.837/6211.3%1.4

Over 7-8f trips17/2277.5%0.875/657.7%1.21

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of <=710/9210.9%1.070/210.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

At Leicester (small sample)0/170.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)17/15411.0%1.491/128.3%1.38

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~58 the race demands

The rider

Tyler Heard · last 14 days: 0/10 · at Leicester: A/E 0 (n8) · with this yard: A/E 1.63 (n165)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 6

-0.22 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 40.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 6

+0.41s

Slow away in 2 of 3 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed2nd of 6

102.6%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length2nd of 6

7.40 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

6 Jul 26Lingfield8fStd/Slow6thTrue40.1 +0.42102.3+0.36

25 Apr 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm6thSlow early39.7 -0.96101.2+0.16

18 Feb 26Kempton Park7fSlow8thTrue38.6 -0.11104.5+0.70

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+1.22very slow2f+1.27par3f+1.09par4f+1.16par5f+1.21par6f+1.15par7f+1.44slow1m+1.61slow

Timed runs 2026-02-18 to 2026-07-06. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceLost roughly 1.6 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRuns Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“dropped out, still off pace entering straight, headway late on”

#5 DORA VITA MID FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 3 · OR 46 · Callum Hutchinson / Richard Phillips

MARKET backed 70 → 46 · the market rates it a 2% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−

43.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 21pts off the top, backed since the morning; solid late gains (4th of 6 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

43.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 53

Official mark (OR)

46 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 7 tries

Days since last run

30

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s)
Usually races midfield and fades

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 101.6% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 6 places on the course scale (BRIGHTON 36th → LEICESTER 30th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 6 · 9.9f · rated 4313thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 286thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 4811thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 164thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 53

Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Phillips · 69 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.8 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 6-7 company3/339.1%1.380/180.0%0.0

Over 7-8f trips0/40.0%0.00/160.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days0/160.0%0.00/160.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3)3/1421.4%2.280/60.0%0.0

On turf3/2114.3%2.00/100.0%0.0

In fields of <=71/425.0%2.260/50.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

At Leicester (small sample)0/10.0%0.0—

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 59 at/around today's trip, clears the ~58 demand

The rider

Callum Hutchinson · last 14 days: 5/23 · at Leicester: A/E 0.94 (n27) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n3)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 6

-0.18 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 6

+0.24s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 6

101.6%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length5th of 6

7.05 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

22 Jun 26Brighton9fGd/Frm5thTrue41.1 -0.18104.2+0.70

25 May 26Windsor8fGd/Frm13thTrue40.0 +0.2897.7+0.17

27 Apr 26Wolverhampton7fStd6thTrue38.4 -0.6799.7+0.05

14 Apr 26Lingfield8fStd11thTrue40.0 -0.3496.1+0.16

16 Mar 26Wolverhampton7fStd4thSlow early39.2 -0.17107.7+0.23

13 Feb 26Wolverhampton7fStd4thSlow early38.4 +0.00104.1+0.13

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.63slow2f+0.80slow3f+0.75slow4f+0.74slow5f+0.67par6f+0.47fast7f+0.42slow1m+0.47par1m 1f+0.79fast1m 2f+1.17fast

Timed runs 2026-02-13 to 2026-06-22. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

BUCKLAND BELLE · 1 meeting≈ 9.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

25 May 26 · 8.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 13th vs 1st, 14.85L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-9.8L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs LOPE Y LINDA (read through SOUTH COAST STAR, GILES GLORY) ≈ +2.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Lost roughly 3.1 lengths at the start last timeCut 3lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“always behind”

#6 SPORTY SOCKS MID

DRAW 4 · OR 46 · Rob Hornby / William Stone

MARKET 24 · the market rates it a 4% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 6+ / 0−

37.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 26.7pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

37.3 · ranked #6 here · career best 52

Official mark (OR)

46 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 6 tries

Days since last run

20

Sectional clock

Last time: 0.9s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.42% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 12 places on the course scale (YARMOUTH 18th → LEICESTER 30th) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Headgear

First-time cheekpieces

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 267thClass 6 · 10.1f · rated 433rdClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 435thClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 436thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 14

Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

William Stone · 181 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Leicester1/214.8%0.451/425.0%3.02

At this time of year (Q3)10/5219.2%1.732/633.3%2.86

Coming back after 15 to 45 days7/779.1%0.924/1526.7%2.52

In Class 6-7 company9/6414.1%1.027/1936.8%2.45

In fields of <=70/210.0%0.01/714.3%2.2

On turf11/8912.4%1.182/219.5%1.5

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 51 is below the ~58 the race demands

The rider

Rob Hornby · last 14 days: 5/40 · at Leicester: A/E 0.9 (n51) · with this yard: A/E 3.72 (n2) · notable booking — a top rider for a yard he seldom rides for

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6

-0.11 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6

+0.17s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 6

98.4%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 6

7.25 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

2 Jul 26Yarmouth8fGd/Frm6thTrue40.5 -0.4096.2+0.07

28 Apr 26Yarmouth10fGood7thTrue38.5 +0.08102.4+0.32

6 Nov 25Chelmsford City10fSlow3rdTrue37.2 +0.08104.8+0.36

9 Sep 25Leicester7fFirm6thTrue42.6 +0.0592.2+0.00

11 Aug 25Kempton Park8fStd2ndTrue36.8 -0.34101.1-0.03

18 Jul 25Newmarket7fGd/Frm5thTrue39.6 -0.1193.8+0.27

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1fledpar2fledslow3fledpar4f+0.04fast5f+0.05fast6f+0.27slow7f+0.81very slow1m+1.77very slow

Timed runs 2025-07-18 to 2026-07-02. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

Read through a common rival

vs BUCKLAND BELLE (read through BLUE JAMMIN, LEXINGTON EXPRESS) ≈ -3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

BOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-11 jockey booked, only 2 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“led, headed halfway, dropped away”