FORMLAB Race Report — Lingfield Park 19:10

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Lingfield Park · 19:10

Class 6 · 4.99f · Good to Firm

GENERATED 2026-07-22 · 7 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 63.7%212 races · latest settled day: #1 7/20, top-3 12/20forensic read: #1 27.3% · top-3 63.3% (139)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here spend about 49% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, ROMIDIJO leads on 63, 1pts clear of SABLE ISLAND — in form. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The market sees it differently, making MISS MONEYPIT the 28% favourite — a horse our figures rate 4th.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

ROMIDIJO

OR 64 · Billy Loughnane / Charlie Clover

MARKET 4.1 · the market rates it a 24% chance

63.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−The top rating in this field (63.0)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 5

SABLE ISLAND

OR 65 · Silvestre De Sousa / Chris Dwyer

MARKET 7 · the market rates it a 14% chance

62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (62.0)

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 3

DREAMLOVER (IRE)

OR 65 · George Wood / Richard Spencer

MARKET 5.2 · the market rates it a 19% chance

57 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Drops in class todayRated #3 in this field (57)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1ROMIDIJOnet +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup

2DREAMLOVER (IRE)net +7drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup

3MISS MONEYPITnet +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, yard hot, ahead of rivals met on collateral form − habitually slow away

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK

Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. DREAMLOVER (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge ROMIDIJO lacks: among the two fastest on speed against its past fields.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

contested early pace likely (3 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Flat, very short straight (~200yd / ~1f) — a sprint home finish. Draw: Modern Poly data broadly FAIR incl. 5f (low NOT clearly advantaged despite the tight early bend). at 5f a HOLD-UP/closer edge is statistically meaningful. Winners’ energy signature: 48.68% spent early (band 48.07–49.36%, 136 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~2 at halfway, 0.11s off the lead).

Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–8

12345678

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 2.7 of 8, field average 4.3).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: ROMIDIJO is 0/1 on softer ground · SABLE ISLAND is unraced on softer ground · DREAMLOVER (IRE) is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

SABLE ISLAND MID 49.9% 99.9 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

DREAMLOVER (IRE) PROMINENT 49.8% 99.2 a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls

ROMIDIJO PROMINENT 49.3% 100.4 the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late

MISS MONEYPIT MID 49.6% 100.3 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

INVICTA ROSE (IRE) MID 50.3% 98.3 held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

DEE'S STAR (IRE) PROMINENT 50.2% 98.7 a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls

TARGA (IRE) HELD-UP 49.6% 98.9 one-paced late — 5th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

ROMIDIJOPROMINENTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best

DEE'S STAR (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest

DREAMLOVER (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest

nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 ROMIDIJO PROMINENT

DRAW 1 · OR 64 · Billy Loughnane / Charlie Clover

MARKET 4.1 · the market rates it a 24% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−

63.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, in form; the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late.

FormLab Figure

63.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 63

Official mark (OR)

64 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 5 tries

Days since last run

14

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 100.42% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 634thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 6310thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 493rdClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 618thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 56

Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Charlie Clover · 171 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Lingfield Park2/1315.4%1.54/850.0%1.83

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 5-6f trips7/3917.9%1.170/220.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3)6/3915.4%0.991/147.1%0.3

On turf11/5420.4%1.36/4513.3%0.75

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 65 at/around today's trip, clears the ~61.0 demand

The rider

Billy Loughnane · last 14 days: 15/57 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.94 (n306) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n4)

Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7

+0.00 mph

About the level of its fields · 40.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 7

+0.13s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 7

100.4%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length5th of 7

7.12 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

8 Jul 26Chepstow6fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.8 +0.28103.2—

26 Jun 26Yarmouth6fGd/Frm4thTrue40.5 +0.05101.6+0.09

5 Jun 26Epsom Downs6fGd/Sft10thTrue40.6 -0.3795.9+0.35

21 May 26Chepstow6fGood3rdTrue42.0 -0.0397.3+0.08

8 May 26Ascot5fGood8thSlow early40.5 +0.07104.1+0.02

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.19slow2f+0.14slow3f+0.10par4f+0.19par5f+0.18fast6f+0.32fast

Timed runs 2026-05-08 to 2026-07-08. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

MISS MONEYPIT · 1 meeting≈ 2.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 8th vs 4th, 2.05L behind

DEE'S STAR (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.6L behind on today's terms · reverses

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 8th vs 5th, 0.55L behind

TARGA (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 1.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

8 Jul 26 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 5th, 2.25L ahead

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

The top rating in this field (63.0)Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“led until 2f out, one paced”

#2 SABLE ISLAND MID

DRAW 5 · OR 65 · Silvestre De Sousa / Chris Dwyer

MARKET 7 · the market rates it a 14% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−

62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, dropping in class; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

62.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 62

Official mark (OR)

65 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 4 tries

Days since last run

14

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 99.94% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 5 places on the course scale (YARMOUTH 18th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Headgear

First-time cheekpieces

Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 5 · 5.2f · rated 627thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 453rdClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 603rdClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 62

Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Chris Dwyer · 207 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Coming back after 8 to 14 days6/3020.0%1.423/1323.1%1.26

At this time of year (Q3)4/547.4%0.651/616.7%1.2

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Lingfield Park2/1315.4%1.110/70.0%0.0

In Class 6-7 company8/5414.8%0.931/137.7%0.4

Over 5-6f trips12/7615.8%1.063/2711.1%0.78

On turf ✦10/8611.6%0.764/3710.8%0.78

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~61.0 demand

The rider

Silvestre De Sousa · last 14 days: 2/17 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.03 (n60) · with this yard: A/E 0.8 (n106)

Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 7

-0.09 mph

About the level of its fields · 41.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7

+0.13s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 7

99.9%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 7

7.29 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

8 Jul 26Yarmouth5fGd/Frm6thTrue43.3 +0.09101.0+0.12

12 Jun 26York5fGood7thSlow early40.2 -0.62101.3+0.27

26 May 26Bath5fGd/Frm3rdTrue40.1 +0.0098.0+0.00

29 Apr 26Southwell4fStd3rdTrue41.8 +0.1699.5—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.24slow2f+0.13par3f+0.16fast4f+0.13par5f+0.54slow

Timed runs 2026-04-29 to 2026-07-08. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (62.0)Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“disputed lead, ridden 2f out, no extra final 1f”

#3 DREAMLOVER (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 3 · OR 65 · George Wood / Richard Spencer

MARKET 5.2 · the market rates it a 19% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

57 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 6pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late, sharp from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

57 · ranked #3 here · career best 66

Official mark (OR)

65 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

18

Sectional clock

Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 99.16% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 7 places on the course scale (LEICESTER 30th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Headgear

First-time blinkers

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 503rdClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 664thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 55

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Spencer · 505 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In Class 6-7 company ✦11/3333.3%1.1611/2445.8%1.52

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦25/20212.4%1.088/4517.8%1.43

On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1915/7121.1%1.35

Too few runners to read reliably

At Lingfield Park (small sample)4/1921.1%1.023/933.3%1.2

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~61.0 demand

The rider

George Wood · last 14 days: 2/27 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.83 (n87) · with this yard: A/E 1.17 (n164)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7

+0.19 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7

-0.08s

Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 3

Finish · closing speed4th of 7

99.2%

One-paced late

Stride length2nd of 7

7.64 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Leicester6fGd/Frm5th—43.0 +0.9497.4-0.23—

27 Jun 26Chester6fGood3rdTrue39.9 -0.3398.9+0.00

7 May 26Southwell4fStd4thTrue40.3 -0.05101.2+0.00

Timed runs 2026-05-07 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayRated #3 in this field (57)Only 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“in touch, ridden when ran green 2f out, no extra final ½f”

#4 MISS MONEYPIT MID

DRAW 2 · OR 61 · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman

MARKET 3.55 · the market rates it a 28% chance

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−

55 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 8pts off the top, a yard in form; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

55 · ranked #4 here · career best 63

Official mark (OR)

61 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 4 tries

Days since last run

25

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.6s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 100.33% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 465thClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 564thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 638thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 55

Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Rod Millman · 782 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.998/2927.6%1.67

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days43/32013.4%1.1611/10710.3%0.85

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 69 at/around today's trip, clears the ~61.0 demand

The rider

Oisin Murphy · last 14 days: 17/73 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.88 (n167) · with this yard: A/E 1.11 (n108)

Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 7

-0.40 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 7

+0.23s

Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed2nd of 7

100.3%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 7

7.14 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Chepstow6fGd/Frm5thTrue41.6 -0.5597.5-0.03

6 Jun 26Chepstow5fSoft5thTrue40.6 -0.3899.2-0.07

8 May 26Ascot5fGood4thSlow early40.1 -0.39104.3+0.59

17 Apr 26Bath5fGood8thTrue37.7 -0.27100.3+0.42

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.18par2f+0.29slow3f+0.16par4f+0.16par5f+0.70slow6f+1.40very slow

Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-06-27. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

DEE'S STAR (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 0.6L ahead on today's terms · confirms

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 4th vs 5th, 1.5L ahead

ROMIDIJO · 1 meeting≈ 2.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 4th vs 8th, 2.05L ahead

INVICTA ROSE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

27 Jun 26 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 6th, 2.25L ahead

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“effort 2f out, not quicken”

#5 DEE'S STAR (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 4 · OR 57 · Darragh Keenan / Michael Keady

MARKET 27 · the market rates it a 4% chance

Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−

53.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 9.5pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late, sharp from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

53.5 · ranked #5 here · career best 54

Official mark (OR)

57 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

46

Sectional clock

Last time: 2.2s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 98.69% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 6 places on the course scale (MUSSELBURGH 17th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Headgear

First-time blinkers

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

7thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 35thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 546thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 53

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Michael Keady · 356 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In Class 6-7 company8/1326.1%0.715/4112.2%1.34

Over 5-6f trips11/1427.7%0.944/4010.0%1.28

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Coming back after 46 to 90 days1/214.8%0.750/80.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3)4/834.8%0.810/100.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 60 is below the ~61.0 the race demands

The rider

Darragh Keenan · last 14 days: 4/21 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.96 (n189) · with this yard: A/E 0.86 (n73)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 7

-0.06 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph1st of 7

-0.09s

Quicker away than the field · fast away 2 of 2

Finish · closing speed6th of 7

98.7%

One-paced late

Stride length7th of 7

6.86 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

6 Jun 26Musselburgh5fGood7thFast early—94.4—

8 May 26Ascot5fGood5thSlow early40.3 -0.12103.1-0.04

17 Apr 26Bath5fGood6thTrue38.0 +0.0098.6-0.13

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.30par2f+0.23par3f+0.35par4f+0.71very slow5f+2.36very slow

Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-06-06. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

MISS MONEYPIT · 2 meetings≈ 0.6L behind on today's terms · reverses

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 5th vs 4th, 1.5L behind

ROMIDIJO · 1 meeting≈ 0.6L ahead on today's terms · confirms

8 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 5th vs 8th, 0.55L ahead

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“prominent, effort wide over 2f out, weakened approaching final 1f”

#6 TARGA (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 7 · OR 56 · Luke Morris / Archie Watson

MARKET 27 · the market rates it a 4% chance

Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−

49.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 14pts off the top, fit and race-ready; a yard out of form.

FormLab Figure

49.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 49

Official mark (OR)

56 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 4 tries

Days since last run

14

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.7s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 98.88% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 494thClass 4 · 5.3f · rated 477thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 448thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated —

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Archie Watson · 1279 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange

Signature angle: in fields of <=7

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Coming back after 8 to 14 days16/14910.7%0.957/4415.9%1.8

In Class 6-7 company22/18611.8%0.937/5014.0%1.21

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)35/30011.7%0.960/260.0%0.0

In fields of 8-11 ✦55/51710.6%0.986/1175.1%0.49

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 51 is below the ~61.0 the race demands

The rider

Luke Morris · last 14 days: 3/40 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.06 (n455) · with this yard: A/E 1.04 (n328)

Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields7th of 7

-0.46 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 43.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph7th of 7

+0.99s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 7

98.9%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 7

7.65 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

8 Jul 26Chepstow6fGd/Frm5thTrue41.8 +0.26102.3—

22 Jun 26Brighton5fGd/Frm4thTrue45.1 +0.3696.5+0.30

30 May 26Lingfield4fGd/Frm7thTrue43.2 -0.4197.1+0.27

22 May 26Goodwood5fGood8thTrue42.0 -2.0599.6+2.39

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.21slow2f+0.26very slow3f+0.25par4f+0.23par5f+0.26fast6f+0.68par

Timed runs 2026-05-22 to 2026-07-08. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

ROMIDIJO · 1 meeting≈ 1.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

8 Jul 26 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 2nd, 2.25L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-1.6L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Only 4 runs at this distance

LTO comment

“off pace, pushed along over 2f out, never on terms”

#7 INVICTA ROSE (IRE) MID

DRAW 8 · OR 58 · Hector Crouch / Ollie Sangster

MARKET 14.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−

42.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

7th on the figures, 20.3pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

42.7 · ranked #7 here · career best 52

Official mark (OR)

58 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

13

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.0s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.33% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 16 places on the course scale (NEWBURY 7th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 426thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 387thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 484thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 52

Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ollie Sangster · 711 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: keeping the same jockey

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.89/1098.3%0.68

Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/5819.0%1.414/3611.1%0.75

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 56 is below the ~61.0 the race demands

The rider

Hector Crouch · last 14 days: 3/24 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.86 (n148) · with this yard: A/E 2.23 (n14)

Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 7

+0.43 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 7

+0.37s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed7th of 7

98.3%

One-paced late

Stride length6th of 7

6.98 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm5thTrue40.7 +0.21100.0—

27 Jun 26Chepstow6fGd/Frm6thTrue42.8 +0.6297.2+0.24

13 Jun 26Chester7fGd/Sft7thTrue39.5 +0.9896.2+0.19

9 Jun 26Salisbury6fHeavy4thSlow early37.1 -0.0999.9+0.67

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.48very slow2f+0.38par3f+0.35par4f+0.27par5f+0.62slow6f+1.19slow

Timed runs 2026-06-09 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

MISS MONEYPIT · 1 meeting≈ 2.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

27 Jun 26 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 5th, 2.25L behind

THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-2.2L adj, 1 meeting(s))

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“led, headed approaching final 1f, weakened soon after”