FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Lingfield Park · 20:40
Class 6 · 7f · Good to Firm
GENERATED 2026-07-22 · 12 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 63.7%212 races · latest settled day: #1 7/20, top-3 12/20forensic read: #1 27.3% · top-3 63.3% (139)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here typically raced recently (74% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (63% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, ZALTALLA (FR) leads on 56, 1pts clear of ROVINIA — the quickest away of the early types. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is PINK SOCKS (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market agrees — it makes ZALTALLA (FR) the 25% favourite.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 7
ZALTALLA (FR)
OR · Billy Loughnane / Gary & Josh Moore
MARKET 3.9 · the market rates it a 25% chance
56.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (56.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days agoA course winner (1 from 14 here)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 12
ROVINIA
OR · Owen Lewis / Roger Teal
MARKET 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
55.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (55.0)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 8
OH SO AUDACIOUS
OR · Hector Crouch / Jack Jones
MARKET 5.3 · the market rates it a 18% chance
48.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 today
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1ZALTALLA (FR)net +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
2ROVINIAnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, yard positive in today’s setup
3ROCK MASTER (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. ROVINIA is the one to beat it — an edge ZALTALLA (FR) lacks: sharp from the stalls.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
CRECIENTE  FIGURE #6
Rod Millman's runners in Class 6-7 company win 12.0% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Rod Millman's runners kept to the same class win 12.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
ELECTROCUTION  FIGURE #10
Chelsea Banham's runners in Class 6-7 company win 21.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Chelsea Banham's runners kept to the same class win 22.0% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
ROCK MASTER (IRE)  FIGURE #11
Tony Carroll's runners in Class 6-7 company win 13.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Tony Carroll's runners kept to the same class win 13.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Flat, very short straight (~200yd / ~1f) — a sprint home finish. Winners’ energy signature: 48.67% spent early (band 47.82–49.38%, 210 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.26s off the lead).
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
19 similar races at LINGFIELD PARK, 6.5-7.5f, all-aged non-handicaps, Class 5-7, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (74% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (63% from the first three favourites). 16% won last time out, 42% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
79% 3yo
11% 6yo+
5% 5yo
Last ran
53% 15-45d
21% first run
21% within 14d
Market
42% favourite
37% 4th+ in the market
11% 3rd favourite
LTO form
42% placed last time
21% unplaced last time
21% first run
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 12 runners · stalls 1–15
123456789101112131415
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–15).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: ZALTALLA (FR) is 0/2 on softer ground · ROVINIA is 0/2 on softer ground · OH SO AUDACIOUS is 0/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BARNSNAPE BOY MID 50.4% 96.2 held up without the late gear (12th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) MID 50.3% 100.2 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
OH SO AUDACIOUS MID 51.4% 96.7 held up without the late gear (10th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
PINK SOCKS (IRE) HELD-UP 49.1% 102.4 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
POET HELD-UP 50.0% 97.4 held up without the late gear (7th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ROCK MASTER (IRE) MID 49.3% 100.2 one-paced late — 4th of 12 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
ROVINIA PROMINENT 50.6% 99.0 a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
ZALTALLA (FR) PROMINENT 49.6% 100.3 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
CAITLIN G MID 50.9% 96.7 held up without the late gear (10th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
CRECIENTE MID 51.8% 97.1 held up without the late gear (8th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ELECTROCUTION HELD-UP 49.4% 99.4 one-paced late — 5th of 12 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
MR JEFFREY MID 50.6% 96.9 held up without the late gear (9th of 12 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
ZALTALLA (FR)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.06s off the field’s best
ROVINIAPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 ZALTALLA (FR) PROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR · Billy Loughnane / Gary & Josh Moore
MARKET 3.9 · the market rates it a 25% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
56.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, the quickest away of the early types; the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late.
FormLab Figure
56.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 52
Record at today's distance
1 win from 22 tries · below market expectation (0.52)
Days since last run
9
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 100.29% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 568thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 304thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 479thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 316thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 50
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ZALTALLA (FR)best 67needs 552025-06-21 · TFR 31 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C62025-07-08 · TFR 53 · 6.95f · Good · C62025-07-22 · TFR 47 · 6f · Good · C62025-08-12 · TFR 61 · 7f · Std · C62025-08-30 · TFR 62 · 8f · Std · C62025-09-08 · TFR 51 · 7f · Std · C62025-09-24 · TFR 42 · 7f · Slow · C62025-10-07 · TFR 27 · 6.95f · Gd/Sft · C62025-11-04 · TFR 56 · 8f · Std · C62025-11-25 · TFR 33 · 8f · Std · C62025-12-08 · TFR 50 · 8f · Std · C62025-12-22 · TFR 31 · 7f · Std/Slow · C62026-01-10 · TFR 47 · 7f · Std · C62026-01-29 · TFR 30 · 7f · Std · C62026-07-13 · TFR 56 · 8f · Std · C621 Jun 2513 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary & Josh Moore · 793 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company30/22413.4%0.9915/8417.9%1.59
At this time of year (Q3)26/2968.8%0.746/2425.0%1.59
At Lingfield Park14/11412.3%1.05/4810.4%1.56
Coming back after 8 to 14 days10/7812.8%0.94/2317.4%1.29
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Billy Loughnane · last 14 days: 15/57 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.94 (n306) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n6)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 12
+0.06 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 12
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 12
100.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 12
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jul 26Lingfield8fStd2nd—39.1 +0.33103.0+0.34
29 Jan 26Lingfield7fStd8thTrue40.5 +0.0099.7-0.10
10 Jan 26Lingfield7fStd4thTrue39.5 +0.08102.6+0.03
22 Dec 25Lingfield7fStd/Slow9thTrue41.8 -0.2697.7+0.00
8 Dec 25Lingfield8fStd6thTrue40.6 +0.00102.6+0.02
25 Nov 25Lingfield8fStd12thTrue40.3 +0.2196.3+0.06
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.44 2f+0.57 3f+0.72 4f+0.69 5f+0.60 6f+0.41 7f+0.13 1m+0.06 
Timed runs 2025-11-25 to 2026-07-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
ROVINIA · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
22 Jul 25 · 6f · Good — finished 10th vs 3rd, 3.25L behind
APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 6.7L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
12 Aug 25 · 7f · Std — finished 1st vs 9th, 6.7L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — line-ball vs 2 rival(s) met (+0.1L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through LYNWOOD LAD, DARK SUN, HOMME DE FER, SOUTH DAKOTA SIOUX) ≈ +4.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OH SO AUDACIOUS (read through A PINT OF BEAR, KING OF WAR, HEER'S SADIE, OTAGO) ≈ -4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BARNSNAPE BOY (read through COMEDIAN LEADER, ROMAN SPRING, LYNWOOD LAD, KRANJCAR) ≈ +3.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) (read through KING OF WAR, PORFIN, CHIFA, HOMME DE FER) ≈ -1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (56.0)Improving fast — last run rated 56, 11pts above his recent average of 44.3NEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.2 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 9 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 14 here)
LTO comment
“mid-field, lost place over 2f out”
#2 ROVINIA PROMINENT
DRAW 12 · OR · 9-9 · −5lb claim = 9-4 carried · Owen Lewis / Roger Teal
MARKET 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
55.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late, sharp from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
55.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 53
Record at today's distance
1 win from 12 tries · in line with the market (0.97)
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 98.98% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 6 · 7.6f · rated 555thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 549thClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 388thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 505thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 37
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ROVINIAbest 61needs 552025-07-22 · TFR 55 · 6f · Good · C62025-08-14 · TFR 56 · 6.07f · Good · C62025-09-04 · TFR 61 · 6f · Std · C62025-09-29 · TFR 54 · 5.98f · Good · C62025-10-08 · TFR 60 · 7f · Std · C62025-11-25 · TFR 60 · 7f · Std · C62026-04-07 · TFR 55 · 7.06f · Std · C52026-05-03 · TFR 37 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-12 · TFR 50 · 8f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 38 · 10.17f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2026-05-29 · TFR 54 · 7.98f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-27 · TFR 55 · 7.61f · Gd/Frm · C622 Jul 2527 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Teal · 477 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company12/8015.0%1.194/3411.8%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)11/1179.4%0.850/120.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦20/2079.7%0.823/664.5%0.45
Over 7-8f trips11/1338.3%0.741/333.0%0.46
On turf ✦19/1939.8%0.895/667.6%0.72
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Owen Lewis · last 14 days: 0/4 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.19 (n12) · with this yard: A/E 1.48 (n18)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 12
-0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 12
-0.02s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 6
Finish · closing speed6th of 12
99.0%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 12
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Lingfield7fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.4 +0.20106.3-0.11
29 May 26Brighton7fGd/Frm5thFast early43.1 +0.4695.5+0.03
26 May 26Bath10fGd/Frm9thTrue39.0 -0.3297.1-0.01
12 May 26Bath8fGood8thTrue39.1 -0.1798.4+0.00
3 May 26Salisbury6fGd/Frm5thTrue39.2 -0.1297.7+0.00
7 Apr 26Southwell7fStd6thFast early38.7 -0.3898.8-0.02
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.05par2fledvery slow3fledvery slow4fledslow5fledpar6fledfast7fledvery fast1m+0.04very fast
Timed runs 2026-04-07 to 2026-06-27. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
ZALTALLA (FR) · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
22 Jul 25 · 6f · Good — finished 3rd vs 10th, 3.25L ahead
MR JEFFREY · 1 meeting≈ 10.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
27 Jun 26 · 7.6f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 8th, 10.75L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+7.5L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs POET (read through WESTON COURT, TEN CLUB, DANCING WITH DRUMS, HARRY BROWN) ≈ +5.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through LYNWOOD LAD, LEGENDSOFTHELAND, NEPTUNE LEGEND, STEP ALONG) ≈ +4.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs PINK SOCKS (IRE) (read through AIM FOR THE BULL, MANTON ROAD, KONDRATIEV WAVE, CELEBRATING ETHEL) ≈ +4.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROCK MASTER (IRE) (read through HAVANA CLUB, AIM FOR THE BULL, WESTON COURT, HANNAH'S RETURN) ≈ +3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (55.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden over 2f out, no further impression”
#3 OH SO AUDACIOUS MID
DRAW 8 · OR · Hector Crouch / Jack Jones
MARKET 5.3 · the market rates it a 18% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
48.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 8pts off the top, prominent in the betting; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
48.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 51
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 20 tries · in line with the market (0.99)
Days since last run
30
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 96.71% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 13 places on the course scale (BRIGHTON 36th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 488thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 3610thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 434thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 521stClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 61
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for OH SO AUDACIOUSbest 61needs 552025-04-05 · TFR 38 · 8.01f · Gd/Frm · C62025-05-14 · TFR 49 · 8.01f · Gd/Frm · C62025-05-27 · TFR 55 · 7.98f · Soft · C62025-08-06 · TFR 61 · 6.95f · Good · C62025-08-24 · TFR 52 · 7.01f · Good · C62025-10-16 · TFR 43 · 6.95f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-25 · TFR 36 · 7f · Firm · C62026-06-22 · TFR 48 · 6.95f · Gd/Frm · C65 Apr 2522 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Jones · 579 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, as an exposed handicapper
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Lingfield Park11/7215.3%1.156/2425.0%1.66
Over 7-8f trips18/1999.0%0.827/4615.2%1.61
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf17/2038.4%0.80/630.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)10/1506.7%0.681/195.3%0.5
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦20/2338.6%0.764/636.3%0.57
In fields of 12-158/1037.8%0.872/336.1%0.73
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 61 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Hector Crouch · last 14 days: 3/24 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.86 (n148) · with this yard: A/E 1.04 (n59)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields11th of 12
-0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 12
+0.17s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed10th of 12
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 12
7.74 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
22 Jun 26Brighton6fGd/Frm4thTrue43.4 -0.0396.9+0.25
25 May 26Leicester7fFirm8thTrue41.8 +0.0093.4+0.57
16 Oct 25Brighton6fGd/Frm10thTrue43.2 -0.0796.1+0.00
24 Aug 25Yarmouth7fGood4thTrue38.7 -0.38101.7+0.10
6 Aug 25Brighton6fGood1stFast early42.0 -0.4894.8+0.08
27 May 25Brighton7fSoft3rdTrue40.7 +0.3397.4+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.33slow2f+0.38slow3f+0.29par4f+0.22par5f+0.24par6f+0.31par7f+0.75par
Timed runs 2025-05-27 to 2026-06-22. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.3L ahead on today's terms · confirms
25 May 26 · 7f · Firm — finished 8th vs 9th, 0.3L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 1 rival(s) met (+0.3L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs BARNSNAPE BOY (read through BEAR TO DREAM, POETIC FORCE, STARSONG, MEDIA GUEST) ≈ +5.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through BATED BREEZE, STARSONG, RAVENGLASS) ≈ +4.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ZALTALLA (FR) (read through A PINT OF BEAR, KING OF WAR, HEER'S SADIE, OTAGO) ≈ +4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) (read through MAURY, CALLOUT) ≈ -3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, outpaced 1f out, no extra”
#4 PINK SOCKS (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 11 · OR · Luke Morris / Stephanie Cassidy
MARKET 42 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
45.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 10.3pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
45.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 26 tries · beats market expectation (1.23)
Days since last run
84
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.42% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 419thClass 6 · 7.1f · rated 405thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 566thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 466thClass 5 · 8.6f · rated 54
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for PINK SOCKS (IRE)best 74needs 552025-06-05 · TFR 48 · 9f · Good · off-trip2025-06-12 · TFR 36 · 9f · Soft · off-trip2025-07-02 · TFR 55 · 9f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2025-08-13 · TFR 44 · 9.45f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2025-10-09 · TFR 49 · 8.2f · Gd/Sft · C62025-10-20 · TFR 49 · 8.34f · Heavy · C62025-12-06 · TFR 55 · 8.65f · Slow · C62026-01-04 · TFR 48 · 8.06f · Std · C62026-01-10 · TFR 62 · 8.02f · Std · C62026-01-13 · TFR 64 · 7.06f · Std · C62026-01-17 · TFR 64 · 8.06f · Std · C62026-01-27 · TFR 60 · 9.47f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-02-10 · TFR 23 · 8.02f · Std · C52026-02-16 · TFR 54 · 8.65f · Std · C52026-03-05 · TFR 46 · 8f · Std · C62026-03-28 · TFR 56 · 8.06f · Std · C62026-04-11 · TFR 40 · 7.06f · Std · C62026-04-29 · TFR 41 · 8.06f · Std · C65 Jun 2529 Apr 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Stephanie Cassidy · 61 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 60.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company2/306.7%1.190/270.0%0.0
At Lingfield Park1/214.8%0.860/120.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips2/1811.1%1.840/140.0%0.0
In fields of 12-150/120.0%0.00/40.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)0/30.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/812.5%1.840/10.0%0.0
On turf (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 74 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Luke Morris · last 14 days: 3/40 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.06 (n455) · notable booking — a top rider for a yard he seldom rides for
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields12th of 12
-0.16 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 12
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 12
102.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length11th of 12
6.93 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Apr 26Southwell8fStd6thFast early38.9 -0.1795.3+0.00
11 Apr 26Southwell7fStd9thTrue38.4 -0.84103.5+0.06
28 Mar 26Southwell8fStd5thSlow early39.7 +0.01110.1+0.23
5 Mar 26Lingfield8fStd6thTrue40.1 -0.03100.7+0.20
16 Feb 26Wolverhampton8fStd6thTrue39.6 +0.00110.0+0.17
10 Feb 26Newcastle8fStd9thTrue39.8 +0.0895.0+0.39
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.40par2f+1.04par3f+1.62fast4f+1.78fast5f+1.61par6f+0.98slow7f+0.73very slow1m+1.38very slow
Timed runs 2026-02-10 to 2026-04-29. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) (read through MANTON ROAD, DANDY KHAN) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROVINIA (read through AIM FOR THE BULL, MANTON ROAD, KONDRATIEV WAVE, CELEBRATING ETHEL) ≈ -4.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OH SO AUDACIOUS (read through BACK FROM DUBAI, KONDRATIEV WAVE, SHAWS PHOENIX, DANEHILL STAR) ≈ -1.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ZALTALLA (FR) (read through MANTON ROAD, KONDRATIEV WAVE, BONA VERBA, SAVED LIZZIE) ≈ +0.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (26 tries, beats market expectation at 1.23)BOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-7 jockey booked, only 0 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“held up, pushed along under 3f out, never on terms”
#5 CRECIENTE MID
DRAW 3 · OR · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman
MARKET 9.8 · the market rates it a 10% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
44.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 12pts off the top, a yard in form; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
44.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 54
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 10 tries
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.1% (one-paced late)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 6 · 7.1f · rated 444thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 5413thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 335thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 408thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 51
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CRECIENTEneeds 55best 542025-06-03 · TFR 48 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-22 · TFR 49 · 7.16f · Slow · C52025-08-04 · TFR 53 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-28 · TFR 36 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-30 · TFR 32 · 5.73f · Gd/Frm · C62026-04-13 · TFR 51 · 7f · Good · C62026-05-14 · TFR 40 · 6f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 33 · 6f · Good · C62026-06-14 · TFR 54 · 6.97f · Good · C52026-06-27 · TFR 44 · 7.07f · Gd/Frm · C63 Jun 2527 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rod Millman · 782 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.998/2927.6%1.67
In fields of 12-158/1296.2%0.883/348.8%1.34
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days43/32013.4%1.1611/10710.3%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 54 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Oisin Murphy · last 14 days: 17/73 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.88 (n167) · with this yard: A/E 1.11 (n108)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 12
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 12
+0.28s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 12
97.1%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 12
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Chepstow7fGd/Frm6thTrue42.2 -0.1396.5+0.07
14 Jun 26Salisbury6fGood4thTrue38.0 +0.00102.3+0.05
26 May 26Lingfield6fGood13thFast early42.5 -0.0295.3+0.24
14 May 26Salisbury6fGood5thFast early38.9 +0.4194.3+0.58
13 Apr 26Leicester7fGood8thTrue41.8 +0.3495.1+0.53
30 Sep 25Bath5fGd/Frm12thTrue38.8 -0.5199.2+0.22
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledpar2f+0.02par3fledpar4fledpar5f+0.06slow6f+0.28slow7f+0.74slow
Timed runs 2025-09-30 to 2026-06-27. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
CAITLIN G · 1 meeting≈ 3.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
26 May 26 · 6f · Good — finished 13th vs 9th, 3L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-3.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs ARVANA BELLE (IRE) (read through MADMAN, SAECULAMATION, NO CLAIMS BONUS) ≈ -3.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ELECTROCUTION (read through FRANKALI, STARAKOVA, FULLSTOP, MONK'S HILL) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“disputed lead, went on around 2f out, headed 1f out, weakened”
#6 BARNSNAPE BOY MID
DRAW 15 · OR · 9-9 · −7lb claim = 9-2 carried · Donagh Murphy / Jim Boyle
MARKET 21 · the market rates it a 5% chance
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−
43.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 12.3pts off the top, ahead of the rivals it has met on collateral form; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
43.7 · ranked #7 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 48
Record at today's distance
1 win from 13 tries · beats market expectation (2.03)
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 96.23% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 13 places on the course scale (BRIGHTON 36th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 374thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 441stClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 507thClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 308thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 44
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BARNSNAPE BOYbest 60needs 552025-01-24 · TFR 40 · 7f · Std · C62025-03-28 · TFR 19 · 6f · Std/Slow · C62025-05-30 · TFR 46 · 5.98f · Good · C62025-06-09 · TFR 7 · 6.95f · Good · C62025-07-23 · TFR 38 · 5f · Good · C6 · off-trip2025-08-02 · TFR 56 · 4.99f · Good · C6 · off-trip2025-08-31 · TFR 60 · 5.27f · Good · C62025-09-15 · TFR 15 · 5.27f · Soft · C62025-09-29 · TFR 46 · 5.27f · Good · C62025-10-16 · TFR 33 · 5.27f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-07 · TFR 44 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-29 · TFR 30 · 5.27f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-09 · TFR 50 · 6.95f · Good · C62026-06-21 · TFR 44 · 6.95f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-07 · TFR 37 · 5.98f · Gd/Frm · C624 Jan 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Boyle · 460 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-156/797.6%1.323/2313.0%1.52
At Lingfield Park9/6813.2%1.196/4214.3%1.22
In Class 6-7 company14/13010.8%0.966/4613.0%1.19
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦23/2489.3%0.873/634.8%0.57
At this time of year (Q3)14/1638.6%0.851/205.0%0.58
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦12/1697.1%0.684/517.8%0.69
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 60 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Donagh Murphy · last 14 days: 0/13 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.81 (n34) · with this yard: A/E 1.61 (n26)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 12
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 12
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed12th of 12
96.2%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 12
7.24 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Brighton5fGd/Frm4thFast early44.1 +0.6895.2—
21 Jun 26Brighton6fGd/Frm4thTrue42.7 +0.1593.0+0.00
9 Jun 26Brighton6fGood1stTrue40.7 +0.0098.3+0.00
29 May 26Brighton5fGd/Frm7thFast early44.7 +0.2194.3+0.18
7 May 26Windsor5fGd/Frm8thTrue41.9 -0.4199.8+0.04
16 Oct 25Brighton5fGd/Frm7thTrue44.9 -0.6096.8+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.79slow2f+0.93fast3f+0.86fast4f+0.88par5f+0.96slow6f+0.84slow
Timed runs 2025-10-16 to 2026-07-07. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) · 3 meetings≈ 2.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
7 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 6th, 1.05L ahead
LIL WADE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
22 Dec 24 · 6f · Std — finished 7th vs 10th, 3.6L ahead
POET · 1 meeting≈ 4.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
7 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 7th, 4.05L ahead
Read through a common rival
vs OH SO AUDACIOUS (read through BEAR TO DREAM, POETIC FORCE, STARSONG, MEDIA GUEST) ≈ -5.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ZALTALLA (FR) (read through COMEDIAN LEADER, ROMAN SPRING, LYNWOOD LAD, KRANJCAR) ≈ -3.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) (read through POETIC FORCE, COMEDIAN LEADER, RIVER WHARFE, STARSONG) ≈ -3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROVINIA (read through COMEDIAN LEADER, ROMAN EMPEROR, OFF THE BENCH, ROMAN SPRING) ≈ -1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (13 tries, beats market expectation at 2.03)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 5 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“slowly away, rear, effort when switched over 2f out, stayed on final 1f, never nearer”
#7 EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) MID
DRAW 4 · OR · Darragh Keenan / Conrad Allen
MARKET 11.5 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 5−
40.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
8th on the figures, 15.3pts off the top, proven on the ground; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
40.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 66
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 52
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 30 tries · beats market expectation (1.36)
Days since last run
58
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.23% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 7 places on the course scale (LEICESTER 30th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Headgear
Cheekpieces and tongue strap
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 346thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 4011thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 483rdClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 586thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 58
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE)best 66needs 552025-02-02 · TFR 38 · 5.03f · Slow · C62025-02-22 · TFR 21 · 6f · Slow · C62025-03-24 · TFR 34 · 7f · Std · C62025-04-12 · TFR 33 · 5.98f · Good · C62025-04-30 · TFR 27 · 9.94f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2025-05-21 · TFR 24 · 7.98f · Good · C62025-06-10 · TFR 40 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-28 · TFR 54 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-09 · TFR 56 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-21 · TFR 47 · 6f · Std · C52025-09-23 · TFR 61 · 7f · Std · C62025-10-16 · TFR 66 · 7f · Slow · C62025-10-27 · TFR 62 · 7f · Std · C52025-12-04 · TFR 58 · 7f · Slow · C62026-01-03 · TFR 66 · 7f · Slow · C62026-01-29 · TFR 41 · 7f · Std · C62026-02-21 · TFR 58 · 7f · Std · C62026-02-28 · TFR 58 · 7f · Std · C62026-04-14 · TFR 48 · 7f · Std · C52026-04-28 · TFR 40 · 6.01f · Good · C62026-05-25 · TFR 34 · 7f · Firm · C62 Feb 2525 May 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Conrad Allen · 237 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Lingfield Park7/5213.5%1.363/1816.7%1.85
In fields of 12-153/339.1%1.331/714.3%1.74
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips4/449.1%1.310/170.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days0/140.0%0.00/60.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)10/4422.7%2.310/50.0%0.0
On turf10/6914.5%1.490/220.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company10/5617.9%1.752/277.4%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Darragh Keenan · last 14 days: 4/21 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.96 (n189) · with this yard: A/E 1.81 (n72)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 12
+0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 12
+0.09s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 12
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 12
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 May 26Leicester7fFirm9thTrue41.6 -0.1694.2+0.18
28 Apr 26Yarmouth6fGood6thTrue42.6 +0.0096.9+0.08
14 Apr 26Lingfield7fStd11thSlow early41.4 +0.53102.0+0.15
28 Feb 26Lingfield7fStd3rdSlow early41.1 -0.18110.1+0.09
21 Feb 26Chelmsford City7fStd6thTrue39.0 +0.0498.6+0.05
29 Jan 26Chelmsford City7fStd10thSlow early40.3 +0.0399.5+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.27par2f+0.48slow3f+0.57par4f+0.46par5f+0.63par6f+1.11slow7f+1.66very slow
Timed runs 2026-01-29 to 2026-05-25. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
POET · 1 meeting≈ 14.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
9 Aug 25 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 7th, 14.25L ahead
OH SO AUDACIOUS · 1 meeting≈ 0.3L behind on today's terms · reverses
25 May 26 · 7f · Firm — finished 9th vs 8th, 0.3L behind
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+5.4L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) (read through TWIRLER, HOLD THE PRESS, DANDY KHAN, THE THAMES LADY) ≈ +3.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROCK MASTER (IRE) (read through RAVENGLASS, TOP BILLER, SANDITON, VITALLINE) ≈ -3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BARNSNAPE BOY (read through POETIC FORCE, COMEDIAN LEADER, RIVER WHARFE, STARSONG) ≈ +3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through RAVENGLASS, STARSONG, HOMME DE FER, TOMORROW DAY) ≈ +2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (30 tries, beats market expectation at 1.36)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 14 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, little impression”
#8 ELECTROCUTION HELD-UP
DRAW 10 · OR · Joey Haynes / Chelsea Banham
MARKET 29 · the market rates it a 3% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
33.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
10th on the figures, 22.3pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; one-paced late — 5th of 12 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
33.7 · ranked #10 here · career best 59
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 51
Record at today's distance
1 win from 14 tries · beats market expectation (1.1)
Days since last run
1
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.4% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 9 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Headgear
First-time blinkers
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 136thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated —4thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 539thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 358thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 38
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ELECTROCUTIONbest 59needs 552025-10-20 · TFR 9 · 6.09f · Slow · C52025-11-03 · TFR 27 · 7.16f · Slow · C52025-11-19 · TFR 52 · 6f · Std · C52025-12-15 · TFR 42 · 6f · Std/Slow · C62026-01-07 · TFR 36 · 7f · Std/Slow · C62026-01-19 · TFR 57 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-02-02 · TFR 59 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-02-25 · TFR 59 · 7f · Slow · C62026-03-12 · TFR 57 · 7f · Std · C62026-04-09 · TFR 38 · 8.06f · Std · C62026-04-27 · TFR 35 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-06-02 · TFR 53 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-07-21 · TFR 13 · 7.16f · Std · C620 Oct 2521 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Chelsea Banham · 280 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange
Signature angle: over an unchanged trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)4/557.3%1.093/1030.0%2.35
In fields of 12-153/339.1%1.781/714.3%2.31
At Lingfield Park11/4922.4%1.835/1338.5%1.86
In Class 6-7 company ✦16/14710.9%1.017/3321.2%1.33
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips0/370.0%0.01/244.2%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)3/1323.1%1.31/250.0%1.32
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 63 at/around today's trip, clears the ~55.0 demand
The rider
Joey Haynes · last 14 days: 0/5 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.33 (n131) · with this yard: A/E 1.13 (n346)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 12
+0.17 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 12
+0.31s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 12
99.4%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 12
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
21 Jul 26Wolverhampton7fStd7thTrue40.5 +0.3393.8+0.49
30 Jun 26Brighton6fGood6thSlow early41.2 -0.1791.0+0.29
2 Jun 26Wolverhampton7fStd4thTrue39.9 +1.12107.8+0.57
27 Apr 26Wolverhampton7fStd9thTrue39.1 +0.0098.1+0.09
9 Apr 26Southwell8fStd8thTrue38.4 -0.27102.2+0.09
12 Mar 26Chelmsford City7fStd3rdTrue39.0 +0.00103.5+0.34
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+1.04par2f+1.27par3f+1.03fast4f+1.25slow5f+1.67slow6f+2.19very slow7f+3.08very slow
Timed runs 2026-03-12 to 2026-07-21. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs ARVANA BELLE (IRE) (read through PIMENTEL, MUSICAL SOLDIER, CORNICHE GIRL) ≈ -3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs CRECIENTE (read through FRANKALI, STARAKOVA, FULLSTOP, MONK'S HILL) ≈ -2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.33x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 1 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“always behind”
#9 ROCK MASTER (IRE) MID
DRAW 9 · OR · Silvestre De Sousa / Tony Carroll
MARKET 23 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
33 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
11th on the figures, 23pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; one-paced late — 4th of 12 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
33 · ranked #11 here · career best 54
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 15 tries
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.17% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
drops 12 places on the course scale (WINDSOR 11th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests
Headgear
Cheekpieces · yard 9% with first-time gear (A/E 0.96)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
10thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 298thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 268thClass 6 · 7.1f · rated 449thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 387thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 39
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ROCK MASTER (IRE)needs 55best 542025-03-27 · TFR 51 · 6f · Slow · C62025-04-10 · TFR 48 · 6f · Slow · C62025-05-01 · TFR 54 · 7f · Slow · C62025-05-21 · TFR 45 · 6.95f · Good · C62025-06-12 · TFR 49 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-27 · TFR 49 · 6.01f · Good · C62025-07-17 · TFR 47 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-03 · TFR 52 · 7.01f · Good · C62025-10-27 · TFR 51 · 7.16f · Slow · C62025-11-25 · TFR 43 · 6.09f · Slow · C62025-12-01 · TFR 39 · 7.16f · Slow · C62026-01-04 · TFR 38 · 6.07f · Std · C62026-01-20 · TFR 44 · 7.06f · Std · C62026-02-06 · TFR 26 · 7.16f · Slow · C62026-06-29 · TFR 29 · 8.14f · Gd/Frm · C627 Mar 2529 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Carroll · 2392 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange
Signature angle: at Bath, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-15 ✦24/3067.8%1.110/8511.8%1.44
On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.247/23520.0%1.41
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦51/49310.3%0.956/5710.5%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 54 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Silvestre De Sousa · last 14 days: 2/17 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.03 (n60) · with this yard: A/E 2.19 (n14)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 12
-0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 12
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 12
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length9th of 12
7.09 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Frm10thTrue40.4 +0.09101.5—
6 Feb 26Wolverhampton7fSlow8thTrue38.1 -0.5994.1-0.01
20 Jan 26Newcastle7fStd8thSlow early38.9 -0.18105.4+0.00
4 Jan 26Southwell6fStd9thTrue38.8 -0.1099.8+0.00
1 Dec 25Wolverhampton7fSlow7thTrue40.2 +0.7799.3+0.05
25 Nov 25Wolverhampton6fSlow6thTrue40.2 -0.22100.9+0.23
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.60slow2f+0.81very slow3f+0.86slow4f+0.55par5f+0.44very fast6f+0.39fast7f+0.61par1m+1.92very slow
Timed runs 2025-11-25 to 2026-06-29. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through JUST KING HIGH, TOP BILLER, RED WALLS, RAVENGLASS) ≈ +4.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs POET (read through RAVENGLASS, WESTON COURT, EMBARKED, THE COLA KID) ≈ +4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROVINIA (read through HAVANA CLUB, AIM FOR THE BULL, WESTON COURT, HANNAH'S RETURN) ≈ -3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) (read through RAVENGLASS, TOP BILLER, SANDITON, VITALLINE) ≈ +3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 14 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, weakened final 1f”
#10 CAITLIN G MID
DRAW 2 · OR · Grace McEntee / Micky Fenton
MARKET 120 · the market rates it a 1% chance
30.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
12th on the figures, 25.3pts off the top, fit and race-ready; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
30.7 · ranked #12 here · career best 35
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 96.71% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 9 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 6 · 8.6f · rated 237thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 349thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 359thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 99thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 34
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CAITLIN Gneeds 55best 352025-06-09 · TFR 29 · 6.05f · Good · C42025-06-30 · TFR 34 · 5.1f · Slow · C52026-05-02 · TFR 9 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-26 · TFR 35 · 6f · Good · C62026-06-10 · TFR 34 · 8.01f · Soft · C62026-07-07 · TFR 23 · 8.65f · Std · C69 Jun 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Micky Fenton
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 37 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Grace McEntee · last 14 days: 0/4 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.03 (n51)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 12
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph11th of 12
+0.39s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed11th of 12
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length12th of 12
6.85 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Wolverhampton8fStd5thTrue38.3 -0.1296.7-0.09
10 Jun 26Yarmouth8fSoft7thTrue37.6 +0.5198.5+0.27
26 May 26Lingfield6fGood9thFast early42.6 +0.0896.4+0.65
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm9thTrue39.1 -0.3598.3—
30 Jun 25Wolverhampton5fSlow9thTrue40.1 +0.2999.3+0.20
18 Jun 25Ascot5fFirm22ndTrue41.8 +0.0091.0+0.45
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.14fast2fledvery fast3f+0.08par4f+0.21par5f+0.20par6f+0.25par7f+0.59slow1m+1.32very slow1m 1f+2.87very slow
Timed runs 2025-06-18 to 2026-07-07. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
CRECIENTE · 1 meeting≈ 3.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
26 May 26 · 6f · Good — finished 9th vs 13th, 3L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+3.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs ARVANA BELLE (IRE) (read through SAECULAMATION, NO CLAIMS BONUS) ≈ +1.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden 3f out, weakened”
#11 POET HELD-UP
DRAW 5 · OR · 9-9 · −3lb claim = 9-6 carried · Christian Howarth / Scott Dixon
MARKET 100 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−
30 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
13th on the figures, 26pts off the top, proven at the trip; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
30 · ranked #13 here · career best 53
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
1 win from 26 tries · beats market expectation (1.41)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.44% (one-paced late)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 6 · 7.1f · rated 277thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 227thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 419thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated —10thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 32
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for POETneeds 55best 532025-04-23 · TFR 44 · 6f · Std · C62025-05-02 · TFR 53 · 6f · Std · C62025-06-12 · TFR 23 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-27 · TFR 40 · 6f · Std · C62025-07-26 · TFR 51 · 7.06f · Slow · C62025-08-09 · TFR 4 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-17 · TFR 23 · 6.07f · Std · C62025-10-09 · TFR 46 · 6f · Slow · C62025-10-20 · TFR 45 · 7.16f · Slow · C62025-10-27 · TFR 43 · 7.16f · Slow · C62025-12-27 · TFR 16 · 7.16f · Slow · C62026-01-06 · TFR 28 · 6.09f · Slow · C62026-01-10 · TFR 8 · 6f · Std · C62026-01-23 · TFR 14 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-02-17 · TFR 24 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-03-02 · TFR 32 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-06-15 · TFR 41 · 6.07f · Good · C62026-07-07 · TFR 22 · 5.98f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-16 · TFR 27 · 7.07f · Gd/Frm · C623 Apr 2516 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Scott Dixon · 1054 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, off a judgement-rated last figure
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Lingfield Park5/5010.0%1.415/2718.5%1.79
Coming back after within 7 days10/1218.3%0.696/3716.2%1.34
Over 7-8f trips ✦34/4407.7%1.039/1098.3%1.27
At this time of year (Q3)14/1957.2%1.073/2114.3%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company ✦35/4797.3%0.987/1514.6%0.72
On turf24/20411.8%1.175/846.0%0.78
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Christian Howarth · last 14 days: 1/9 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.43 (n41) · with this yard: A/E 1.83 (n29)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 12
+0.16 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph12th of 12
+0.54s
Slow away in 4 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed7th of 12
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length10th of 12
6.99 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jul 26Chepstow7fGd/Frm9thTrue42.5 -0.8693.5—
7 Jul 26Brighton5fGd/Frm7thFast early43.5 +0.0892.8-0.45
15 Jun 26Chepstow6fGood7thTrue43.1 +0.0098.6+0.37
10 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStd9thTrue40.0 +0.9498.7+0.91
2 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStd10thTrue41.1 +0.57100.5+0.47
17 Feb 26Wolverhampton5fStd9thFast early41.7 +0.21100.6+0.40
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledpar2fledpar3fledpar4f+0.26par5f+0.54par6f+0.90slow7f+1.76very slow
Timed runs 2026-02-17 to 2026-07-16. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
APPLE'S ANGEL (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
7 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 6th, 3L behind
BARNSNAPE BOY · 1 meeting≈ 4.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
7 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 4th, 4.05L behind
EDERGOLE'S GIFT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 14.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
9 Aug 25 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 2nd, 14.25L behind
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 3 rival(s) met (-7.7L adj, 3 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs ROVINIA (read through WESTON COURT, TEN CLUB, DANCING WITH DRUMS, HARRY BROWN) ≈ -5.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ROCK MASTER (IRE) (read through RAVENGLASS, WESTON COURT, EMBARKED, THE COLA KID) ≈ -4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OH SO AUDACIOUS (read through RAVENGLASS, BLUE POINT EXPRESS, RUSHEEN BOY, KRANJCAR) ≈ -2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LIL WADE (IRE) (read through RAVENGLASS, GOLDEN PROSPERITY, NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND, BEAUTIFUL DAWN) ≈ -1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (26 tries, beats market expectation at 1.41)Race-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“chased leaders, lost place halfway, eased final 1f”
#12 MR JEFFREY MID
DRAW 14 · OR · 9-2 · −5lb claim = 8-11 carried · Mason Paetel / Rachel Cook & John Bridger
MARKET 120 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 6−
24.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
14th on the figures, 31.7pts off the top, fit and race-ready; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
24.3 · ranked #14 here · career best 42
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 96.87% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 6 · 7.6f · rated 237thClass 4 · 7.6f · rated 812thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 4213thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated —
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for MR JEFFREYneeds 55best 422026-05-11 · TFR 42 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C52026-06-06 · TFR 8 · 7.61f · Soft · C42026-06-27 · TFR 23 · 7.61f · Gd/Frm · C611 May 2627 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rachel Cook & John Bridger · 348 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips2/752.7%0.461/214.8%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)13/12210.7%1.220/120.0%0.0
In fields of 12-153/585.2%0.750/130.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company10/1437.0%0.871/342.9%0.49
On turf15/2107.1%0.842/464.3%0.59
Coming back after 15 to 45 days7/1106.4%0.881/303.3%0.64
At Lingfield Park5/786.4%0.721/234.3%0.66
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 42 is below the ~55.0 the race demands
The rider
Mason Paetel · last 14 days: 3/18 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.55 (n30) · with this yard: A/E 1.87 (n8)
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 12
-0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 12
+0.29s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed9th of 12
96.9%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 12
7.62 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Lingfield7fGd/Frm8thTrue39.4 -0.83103.1+0.30
6 Jun 26Lingfield7fSoft7thTrue39.3 +0.0789.1+0.00
11 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm12thTrue41.3 +0.8498.4+0.43
30 Apr 26Kempton Park7fSlow13th—37.9 -0.43—+0.44—
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.23slow2f+0.36very slow3f+0.44very slow4f+0.35slow5f+0.34par6f+0.59fast7f+0.95fast1m+1.81par
Timed runs 2026-04-30 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
ROVINIA · 1 meeting≈ 10.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
27 Jun 26 · 7.6f · Gd/Frm — finished 8th vs 2nd, 10.75L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-10.8L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.55x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway over 2f out, weakened”